Adjusted monetary aggregates and UK inflation targeting

Leigh Drake and Adrian R. Fleissig

Oxford Economic Papers, 2006, vol. 58, issue 4, 681-705

Abstract: This study shows how to construct monetary aggregates using a procedure to adjust the simple-sum, Divisia and empirical monetary aggregates to be consistent with weak separability. The corresponding adjusted monetary aggregates have considerable leading indicator information and provide the most accurate predictions of inflation over the Bank of England's two year forecast horizon. Copyright 2006, Oxford University Press.

Date: 2006
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