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Tests for a Systematic Risk Component in Deviations From Uncovered Interest Rate Parity

Thomas McCurdy and Ieuan G. Morgan

The Review of Economic Studies, 1991, vol. 58, issue 3, 587-602

Abstract: In the intertemporal asset pricing model, investments in spot foreign currencies involve time-varying risk proportional to the conditional covariance of the value of the position with the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution of domestic currency. We detect such risk premia in deviations from uncovered interest rate parity using weekly spot currency prices and Eurocurrency interest rates. Our tests use the conditional capital asset pricing model with a world equity index as benchmark to represent aggregate wealth.

Date: 1991
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The Review of Economic Studies is currently edited by Thomas Chaney, Xavier d’Haultfoeuille, Andrea Galeotti, Bård Harstad, Nir Jaimovich, Katrine Loken, Elias Papaioannou, Vincent Sterk and Noam Yuchtman

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