A World Equilibrium Model of the Oil Market
Gideon Bornstein,
Per Krusell and
Sergio Rebelo
The Review of Economic Studies, 2023, vol. 90, issue 1, 132-164
Abstract:
We use new, comprehensive micro data on oil fields to build and estimate a structural model of the oil industry embedded in a general equilibrium model of the world economy. In the model, firms that belong to Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) act as a cartel. The remaining firms are a competitive fringe. We use the model to study the macroeconomic impact of the advent of fracking. Fracking weakens the OPEC cartel, leading to a large long-run decline in oil prices. Fracking also reduces the volatility of oil prices in the long run because fracking firms can respond more quickly to changes in oil demand.
Keywords: Oil; Fracking; Commodities; Volatility; Q4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:restud:v:90:y:2023:i:1:p:132-164.
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