Corporate Financing Activities and Contrarian Investment

Turan G. Bali, K. Ozgur Demirtas and Armen Hovakimian

Review of Finance, 2010, vol. 14, issue 3, 543-584

Abstract: This paper investigates the risk versus mispricing explanation of superior returns to contrarian strategies using the interactions between value-to-market indicators and corporate financing transactions that increase or decrease a firm's outstanding equity. Portfolio-level analyses and firm-level cross-sectional regressions indicate that the well-documented contrarian profits soar when value stocks which repurchase shares (value repurchasers) and growth stocks which issue shares (growth issuers) are considered. Various risk measures indicate that value repurchasers are not riskier than growth issuers. Furthermore, time-series of realized growth rates, analysts' long-term growth estimates, and sensitivity of portfolio returns to investor sentiment support the misvaluation explanation. Copyright 2010, Oxford University Press.

Date: 2010
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