Gambling Preference and the New Year Effect of Assets with Lottery Features

James Doran (), Danling Jiang and David R. Peterson

Review of Finance, 2011, vol. 16, issue 3, 685-731

Abstract: This paper shows that a New Year's gambling preference of individual investors impacts prices and returns of assets with lottery features. January call options, especially the out-of-the-money calls, have higher retail demand and are the most expensive and actively traded. Lottery-type stocks outperform their counterparts in January but tend to underperform in other months. Retail sentiment is more bullish in lottery-type stocks in January than in other months. Furthermore, lottery-type Chinese stocks outperform in the Chinese New Year's Month but not in January. This New Year effect provides new insights into the broad phenomena related to the January effect. Copyright 2011, Oxford University Press.

Date: 2011
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Working Paper: Gambling Preference and the New Year Effect of Assets with Lottery Features (2009)
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