Follow the Leader: Using the Stock Market to Uncover Information Flows between Firms*

Trade credit and cross-country predictable firm returns

Anna Scherbina and Bernd Schlusche

Review of Finance, 2020, vol. 24, issue 1, 189-225

Abstract: We identify all return leader–follower pairs among individual stocks using Granger causality regressions. Thus-identified leaders reliably predict their followers’ returns out of sample, and the return predictability works at the level of individual stocks rather than industries. Our results indicate that, independent of its size, any firm may emerge as a return leader by being at the center of an important news development that has ramifications for other firms. Indeed, stocks undergoing news-generating developments see an increase in the number of stocks whose returns they lead.

Keywords: Information leadership; Lead–lag effect; Corporate news announcements; Limited attention; Market efficiency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G12 G14 G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:revfin:v:24:y:2020:i:1:p:189-225.

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