Information Acquisition, Uncertainty Reduction, and Pre-Announcement Premium in China*
Rui Guo,
Dun Jia and
Xi Sun
Review of Finance, 2023, vol. 27, issue 3, 1077-1118
Abstract:
We examine the stock market returns in an environment in which the dates of the central bank’s information supply through public announcements are not prescheduled. We document that positive excess returns are accumulated as early as 3 days before China’s central bank releases the monthly data of monetary aggregates, which may be announced either early or late in a month. In particular, this pre-announcement premium exists only when an announcement arrives late in an announcement cycle. We provide a theoretical framework in which the degree of information acquisition in the market increases as the date approaches the end of an announcement cycle while investors are still waiting for the arrival of an announcement, a hypothesis that receives strong empirical support. We show that the information acquisition channel highlighted in Ai, Bansal, and Han (2022) explains the uncertainty reduction and the positive risk premium before monetary announcements in China.
Keywords: Equity premium; Macro announcements; Central bank; Information acquisition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 E52 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:
Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rof/rfac042 (application/pdf)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:revfin:v:27:y:2023:i:3:p:1077-1118.
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://academic.oup.com/journals
Access Statistics for this article
Review of Finance is currently edited by Marcin Kacperczyk
More articles in Review of Finance from European Finance Association Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, UK. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Oxford University Press ().