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Common risk factors in cross-sectional FX options returns

Xuanchen Zhang, Raymond H Y So and Tarik Driouchi

Review of Finance, 2024, vol. 28, issue 3, 897-944

Abstract: We identify a comprehensive list of thirty-eight characteristics for predicting cross-sectional FX options returns. We find that three factors—long-term straddle momentum, implied volatility, and illiquidity—can generate economically and statistically significant risk premia not explained by other return predictors. Meanwhile, the predictability of the other characteristics becomes insignificant after accounting for the FX option three-factor model. The significance of the three factors is confirmed through a series of robustness tests covering different data sources, alternative options strategies, diversification effects, bootstrapping, and omitting crisis years.

Keywords: options returns; implied volatility; momentum; illiquidity; FX options; foreign exchange (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G13 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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