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Resurrecting the Size Effect: Firm Size, Profitability Shocks, and Expected Stock Returns

Kewei Hou, Mathijs A van Dijk and Laura StarksEditor

The Review of Financial Studies, 2019, vol. 32, issue 7, 2850-2889

Abstract: Many studies report that the size effect in the cross-section of stock returns disappeared after the early 1980s. This paper shows that its disappearance can be attributed to negative shocks to the profitability of small firms and positive shocks to big firms. After adjusting for the price impact of profitability shocks, we find a robust size effect in the cross-section of expected returns after the early 1980s. Our results highlight the importance of in-sample cash-flow shocks in understanding cross-sectional return predictability.Received April 2, 2014; editorial decision August 6, 2018 by Editor Laura Starks.

Date: 2019
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The Review of Financial Studies is currently edited by Itay Goldstein

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