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Too Much Skin-in-the-Game? The Effect of Mortgage Market Concentration on Credit and House Prices

Deeksha Gupta

The Review of Financial Studies, 2022, vol. 35, issue 2, 814-865

Abstract: In 2007, as American housing markets started to decline, the government-sponsored enterprises dramatically increased their acquisitions of low FICO and high loan-to-value mortgages. By 2008, the agencies had reversed course by decreasing their high-risk acquisitions. I develop a theory in which large lenders temporarily increase high-risk activity at the end of a boom. In the model, lenders with many outstanding mortgages have incentives to extend risky credit to prop up house prices. The increase in house prices lessens the losses they make on their outstanding portfolio of mortgages. As the bust continues, lenders slowly wind down their mortgage exposure.

JEL-codes: G01 G21 L11 L25 R21 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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The Review of Financial Studies is currently edited by Itay Goldstein

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