Inflation and Individual Investors’ Behavior: Evidence from the German Hyperinflation

Fabio Braggion, Felix von, Nic Schaub and Tarun Ramadorai

The Review of Financial Studies, 2023, vol. 36, issue 12, 5012-5045

Abstract: We analyze how individual investors respond to inflation. We introduce a unique data set containing information on local inflation and security portfolios of more than 2,000 clients of a German bank between 1920 and 1924, covering the German hyperinflation. We find that individual investors buy fewer (sell more) stocks when facing higher local inflation. This effect is more pronounced for less sophisticated investors. Moreover, we document a positive relation between local inflation and forgone returns following stock sales. Our findings are consistent with individual investors suffering from money illusion. Alternative explanations, such as consumption needs, are unlikely to drive our results.Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online

Keywords: D14; E31; G11; G41; N14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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