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Who Holds Sovereign Debt and Why It Matters

Xiang Fang, Bryan Hardy and Karen K Lewis

The Review of Financial Studies, 2025, vol. 38, issue 8, 2326-2361

Abstract: This paper studies whether investor composition affects the sovereign debt market. We construct a data set of sovereign debt holdings by foreign and domestic bank, nonbank private and official investors for 101 countries across three decades. Compared with other investors, private nonbank investors absorb a disproportionate share of the debt supply, and their demand for emerging market debt is most price responsive. A counterfactual analysis of emerging market sovereigns shows a 10% increase in debt leads to a 5.8% yield increase but an outsized 8.4% increase without nonbank investors. We conclude that sovereigns are vulnerable to the loss of nonbanks.

Keywords: F34; G11; G15; F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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The Review of Financial Studies is currently edited by Itay Goldstein

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