 Is the Debt Crisis History? Recent Private Capital Inflows to Developing CountriesMichael Dooley, Eduardo Fernandez-Arias and Kenneth Kletzer The World Bank Economic Review, 1996, vol. 10, issue 1, 27-50 Abstract: The outlook for economic development for an important group of middle-income countries has once again been buoyed by substantial private capital inflows in the 1990s. As in the 1970s, this development has been met with cautious optimism. This empirical study finds that although debt reduction and policy reforms in debtor countries have been important determinants of renewed access to international capital markets, changes in international interest rates have been the dominant factor. We calculate the effects of changes in international interest rates for a "typical" debtor country. We conclude that increases in interest rates associated with a business cycle upturn in industrial countries could depress the secondary market prices of existing debt to levels inconsistent with continued capital inflows. Copyright 1996 by Oxford University Press. Date: 1996 There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it. Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:wbecrv:v:10:y:1996:i:1:p:27-50 Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from Access Statistics for this article The World Bank Economic Review is currently edited by Eric Edmonds and Nina Pavcnik More articles in The World Bank Economic Review from World Bank Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, UK. Contact information at EDIRC. |
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