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Uniform Commercial Policy, Illegal Trade, and the Real Exchange Rate: A Theoretical Analysis

Stephen O'Connell ()

The World Bank Economic Review, 1992, vol. 6, issue 3, 459-79

Abstract: Countries on fixed exchange rates sometimes use uniform tariff cum subsidy (UTCS) schemes as a way of achieving a real depreciation without disturbing the nominal exchange rate. A potential drawback of this policy in relation to an across-the-board devaluation is that a UTCS scheme provides incentives for illegal trade. Using an optimizing model with currency convertibility and illegal trade, I find that welfare is lower under a UTCS scheme than under a corresponding across-the-board devaluation and that in some cases the real exchange rate actually appreciates in response to an increase in the UTCS rate. Copyright 1992 by Oxford University Press.

Date: 1992
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The World Bank Economic Review is currently edited by Eric Edmonds and Nina Pavcnik

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