Analysis and Forecast of the Gross Domestic Product in Romania Using Econometric Methods

Nec?ulescu Consuela () and ?erbãnescu Lumini?a ()
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Nec?ulescu Consuela: University of Pitesti, Faculty of Economic Sciences
?erbãnescu Lumini?a: University of Pitesti, Faculty of Economic Sciences

Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, 2014, vol. XIV, issue 1, 380-385

Abstract: In this article I made an analysis of the evolution and forecast of one of the most important indicators of the System of National Accounts, i.e. the Gross Internal Product, and of the correlation between it and the elements underlying its formation. For the analysis of the correlation between the GDP and its influencing factors I used econometric monofactorial and linear and reverse regression models. In the analysis of the factors determining the Gross Domestic Product, I started from the expenditure method and the production method. I also used dynamics methods in order to determine the trend based on which I set the forecast both for the GDP for the items composing it.

Keywords: Gross Domestic Product; regression model; forecast; OLS; trend (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 C5 E24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xiv:y:2014:i:1:p:380-385

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