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The Impact of the Exchange Rate Evolution on Romanian Exports

Iulia Iuga

Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, 2015, vol. XV, issue 1, 779-784

Abstract: The scope of this paper is to study the influence of the currency phenomenon on Romanian exports between 2006 - 2014. The method that we propose in this study is the analysis of an econometric model, where we approach the intensity of the relationship between the currency phenomenon, expressed through the euro/ron exchange rate and the Romanian export volume. The research results have lead to the validation of hypotheses and they show that there is indeed a relationship between the explanatory variable and the dependent variable. The analysis suggests the vulnerability of the Romanian economic environment, the behavioral tendencies of which are difficult to identify, due to the fact that the business sector has suffered substantial structural changes in the last years. The originality of this paper resides in the fact that it shapes two important variables at a national level, in today’s macroeconomic context.

Keywords: econometric model; export; Exchange rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C50 F31 F40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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