Monetary Policy and Inflation: Is there a Neo- Fisher Effect? Evidence from Inflation Targeting Countries in Central and Eastern Europe
PleÈ™cÄƒu Ioana ()
Additional contact information
PleÈ™cÄƒu Ioana: â€œAlexandru Ioan Cuzaâ€ University of Iasi
Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, 2017, vol. XVII, issue 1, 578-583
In this study we empirically investigate the influence of the low interest rate environmentadopted by inflation targeting countries from Central and Eastern Europe as a rescue measureafter the outbreak of the financial crisis. Moreover, we focus on examining the existence of a NeoFishereffect that may explain the positive relation between interest rates and inflation, withcausality from interest towards inflation rate. We employ a Vector Autoregressive model, togetherwith an impulse response analysis and a variance decomposition technique, to capture theresponse of economic growth and inflation to shocks to the monetary policy. Our main results pointto a negative relation between policy rates and economic growth, as predicted by the economicliterature. However, results show a significant positive relation between interest rates andinflation, meaning that negative shocks to interest rates lead to lower inflation. Also, we find thatthe response of inflation and economic growth is the same, regardless of the crisis or non-crisisperiod.
Keywords: interest rates; inflation; Neo-Fisher effect; monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 E31 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xvii:y:2017:i:1:p:578-583
Access Statistics for this article
Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series is currently edited by Spatariu Cerasela
More articles in Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series from Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences Contact information at EDIRC.
Series data maintained by Gheorghiu Gabriela ().