 The Incidence of Long-term Unemployment in Australia 1978-2003Robert Dixon and Guay Lim Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), 2004, vol. 7, issue 4, 501-513 Abstract: This paper explores the following question - Has there been any long-run increase (or decrease) in the ‘incidence’ of long-term unemployment once we have corrected for cyclical factors? Our research leads us to conclude that: (i) the incidence of male long-term unemployment has been neither rising nor falling, once we allow for cyclical factors, (ii) the incidence of female long-term unemployment has been rising, once we allow for cyclical factors. We conjecture that there is a link between increasing female participation (which we take to be a proxy for increasing ‘attachment to the labour market’ – and thus attachment to unemployment as well as employment) and the increasing incidence of female long-term unemployment. Experimenting with policy dummies, we find no evidence that policy has permanent effects on the incidence of long-term unemployment for either males or females but we do find some evidence that policy has temporary effects for females. Keywords: Unemployment; Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search Econometric and Statistical Methods; Special Topics; Econometric Methods: Single Equation Models; single Variables: Time-Series Models (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ozl:journl:v:7:y:2004:i:4:p:501-513 Access Statistics for this article More articles in Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE) from Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School Contact information at EDIRC. |
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