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Impact of Fiscal Measures in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic on Small-Open Economies: Lessons from Slovenia

Filippo Arigoni (), Miha Breznikar (), Črt Lenarčič and Matjaž Maletič ()
Additional contact information
Filippo Arigoni: Central Bank of Ireland
Miha Breznikar: European Central Bank
Matjaž Maletič: Banka Slovenije

Eastern Economic Journal, 2025, vol. 51, issue 4, No 2, 553-582

Abstract: Abstract We assess the economic impact of the fiscal expansion in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, using Slovenia as a representative small-open economy and calibrate a large-scale DSGE model by closely matching the estimated fiscal multipliers. A simulated three-scenario fiscal expansion analysis documents that a government consumption shock explains a large part of domestic fluctuations, compared to other unanticipated fiscal developments. The results also highlight the role played by private-government consumption complementarity as key transmission channel of fiscal shocks on the real business cycle.

Keywords: Fiscal shocks; COVID-19 crisis; Fiscal multipliers; DSGE model; VAR model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E32 E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Working Paper: Impact of fiscal measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic on small-open economies: lessons from Slovenia (2020) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1057/s41302-025-00301-z

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