Implementation costs and cost-effectiveness of ultraportable chest X-ray with artificial intelligence in active case finding for tuberculosis in Nigeria

Tushar Garg, Stephen John, Suraj Abdulkarim, Adamu D Ahmed, Beatrice Kirubi, Md Toufiq Rahman, Emperor Ubochioma and Jacob Creswell

PLOS Digital Health, 2025, vol. 4, issue 6, 1-13

Abstract: Availability of ultraportable chest x-ray (CXR) and advancements in artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled CXR interpretation are promising developments in tuberculosis (TB) active case finding (ACF) but costing and cost-effectiveness analyses are limited. We provide implementation cost and cost-effectiveness estimates of different screening algorithms using symptoms, CXR and AI in Nigeria. People 15 years and older were screened for TB symptoms and offered a CXR with AI-enabled interpretation using qXR v3 (Qure.ai) at lung health camps. Sputum samples were tested on Xpert MTB/RIF for individuals reporting symptoms or with qXR abnormality scores ≥0.30. We conducted a retrospective costing using a combination of top-down and bottom-up approaches while utilizing itemized expense data from a health system perspective. We estimated costs in five screening scenarios: abnormality score ≥0.30 and ≥0.50; cough ≥ 2 weeks; any symptom; abnormality score ≥0.30 or any symptom. We calculated total implementation costs, cost per bacteriologically-confirmed case detected, and assessed cost-effectiveness using incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) as additional cost per additional case. Overall, 3205 people with presumptive TB were identified, 1021 were tested, and 85 people with bacteriologically-confirmed TB were detected. Abnormality ≥ 0.30 or any symptom (US$65704) had the highest costs while cough ≥ 2 weeks was the lowest (US$40740). The cost per case was US$1198 for cough ≥ 2 weeks, and lowest for any symptom (US$635). Compared to baseline strategy of cough ≥ 2 weeks, the ICER for any symptom was US$191 per additional case detected and US$ 2096 for Abnormality ≥0.30 OR any symptom algorithm. Using CXR and AI had lower cost per case detected than any symptom screening criteria when asymptomatic TB was higher than 30% of all bacteriologically-confirmed TB detected. Compared to traditional symptom screening, using CXR and AI in combination with symptoms detects more cases at lower cost per case detected and is cost-effective. TB programs should explore adoption of CXR and AI for screening in ACF.Author summary: In our study, we explored strategies to enhance tuberculosis (TB) screening in active case finding (ACF) campaigns using ultraportable chest X-ray (CXR) machines with artificial intelligence (AI) in remote areas of Northeast Nigeria. We organized health camps where individuals over 15 years were screened for TB symptoms and given CXR with AI-enabled interpretation to detect TB abnormalities. If someone showed symptoms or their CXR AI score suggested TB, we confirmed with sputum testing using Xpert MTB/RIF. Our analysis compared different screening methods, examining the costs, number of TB cases detected, and cost-effectiveness. The combined approach of symptom screening plus CXR with AI proved to be more effective, less expensive than screening for only cough, and cost-effective for the setting. Key cost drivers were community mobilization, CXR equipment and AI license, and GeneXpert equipment. Using CXR and AI had lower cost per case detected than any symptom screening criteria when asymptomatic TB was higher than 30% of all bacteriologically-confirmed TB detected. Our findings suggest that TB programs could consider using CXR and AI to improve case detection in similar settings, making TB screening both more accessible and cost-effective.

Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pdig00:0000894

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000894

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