Kompozitný predstihový indikátor hospodárskeho cyklu českej ekonomiky

Composite Leading Indicator of Czech Business Cycle

Andrea Tkáčová

Politická ekonomie, 2012, vol. 2012, issue 5, 590-613

Abstract: The main goal of this paper is to create composite leading indicator for Czech economy and its comparison with composite leading indicators created by OECD and Eurostat. The theoretical part of the paper consists of the methods that are employed for creation composite leading indicator in the world. We compare methods of OECD, Eurostat, Conference Board and the methods of Slovak and Czech authors. The empirical part of the paper is focused on analysis of 120 indicators of Czech economy and their selection on the coincident, lagging and leading indicators. From the group of leading indicators is created new composite leading indicator for Czech economy which can by used on monitoring and short-term prediction of Czech business cycle.

Keywords: business cycle; composite leading indicator; reference series; cyclical indicator (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E3 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.865

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