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Inflation and Nominal Interest Rates in the United States

Erol Balkan and Umit Erol
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Umit Erol: Bilkent University Ankara, Postal: Eskisehir Yolu 8. Km Ankara, 06800, Turkey,, http://bilkent.edu.tr/

Economia Internazionale / International Economics, 1992, vol. 45, issue 2, 164-179

Abstract: The relationship between nominal interest rates and price movements is examined using three alternative Granger causality detection techniques. The statistical advantage of the techniques is that they rely directly on the data and do not assume a priori models or hypotheses. The techniques support similar conclusions. First, nominal interest rates adjust rapidly to changes in the inflation rate. Second, there is short-run positive feedback from interest rates to the inflation rate, indicative of the Fama effect.

Date: 1992
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ris:ecoint:0458

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