 MACROECONOMIC ESTIMATIONS FOR THE ROMANIAN “PRE-ACCESSION ECONOMIC PROGRAM” (THE 2003 VERSION)Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2003, issue 4, 23-49 Abstract: The first section attempts to define the main problems, taking into account that the productive performance of the Romanian economy is affected by a double constraint – both from a supply side and the from the demand side. Four essential factors are identified on the supply side: the existence of many under performing companies, under use or even complete blockage of other capacities, undercapitalization of a large part of the viable part of the economy, a relatively high burden of taxation. On the demand side, one can mention the contraction of real absorption and limited access to the external markets. The implications of Balassa – Samuelson effect is taken into account. The second and third sections discuss the computational hypothesis and numerical estimations for two scenarios, a desirable and a moderate one, considered by the author as the most relevant for the period 2003-2007. Keywords: economic models; macroeconomics; forecasting; economic growth (search for similar items in EconPapers) There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it. Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2003:i:4:p:23-49 Access Statistics for this article Journal for Economic Forecasting is currently edited by Lucian Liviu Albu and Corina Saman More articles in Journal for Economic Forecasting from Institute for Economic Forecasting Contact information at EDIRC. |
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