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Journal for Economic Forecasting

2000 - 2021

Current editor(s): Lucian Liviu Albu and Corina Saman

From Institute for Economic Forecasting
Contact information at EDIRC.

Bibliographic data for series maintained by Corina Saman ().

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2021, issue 3

Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: The Case of Turkey pp. 5-19 Downloads
Selahattin Togay and Umit Bulut
The Time-Varying Tradeoff between Inflation and Unemployment: Evidence from SAARC Economies with a State Space Approach pp. 20-34 Downloads
Thanabalasingam Vinayagathasan and Xiangcai Meng
Human Capital and Firm Innovation: New Evidence from ASEAN Countries pp. 52-71 Downloads
Chia-Hua Chang and Dung NGUYEN- van
Country Risk and Bank Stability pp. 72-96 Downloads
Jiang-Chuan Huang and Hueh-Chen Lin
Measuring the Monetary Policy Stance in Turkey: Effects of Traditional and Non-Traditional Monetary Policy Instruments pp. 97-119 Downloads
Metin Teti̇k and Görkem Kara
Investigating the Relationship between Natural Capital and Sustainable Economic Growth using the General Equilibrium Model pp. 120-139 Downloads
Fatemeh Salimianrad, Vali Borimnejad and Sahar Dehyuori
Okun’s Law (A)Symmetry in SEE Countries: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Model pp. 140-157 Downloads
Vladimir Mihajlović and Aleksandra Fedajev
Modelling the Budget Revenues on the Basis of Appropriate Macroeconomic Indicators. A Case Study for Romania pp. 158-171 Downloads
Alina Mirela Bălţăţeanu, Emilia Ţiţan, Daniela Manea and Francesca Dana Andreescu

2021, issue 2

Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interactions in a DSGE Model for the Romanian Economy pp. 5-21 Downloads
Alina Bobaşu and Bogdan Murarașu
Forecasting Stock Market Dynamics using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory pp. 22-34 Downloads
Daehyeon Park and Doojin Ryu
The Impact of Global Uncertainties on Economic Growth: Evidence from the US Economy (1996: Q1-2018: Q4) pp. 35-54 Downloads
Ömer Yalçinkaya and Ali Kemal Çeli̇k
Accentuating the Impacts of Political News on the Stock Price, Working Capital and Performance: An Empirical Review of Emerging Economy pp. 55-73 Downloads
Muhammad Ateeq ur Rehman, Syed Ghulam Meran Shah, Lucian-Ionel Cioca and Alin Artene
Asymmetric Oil Price and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Turkish Oil-Gasoline Markets pp. 74-93 Downloads
Taner Sekmen and Seher Gülşah Topuz
Emigration Decision and the Migration Profile of the Unemployed: A Case Study on Romania pp. 94-111 Downloads
Mirela Cristea, Daniela Emanuela Dănăcică and Graţiela Georgiana Noja
The Role of Gender in the Government Expenditure and Unemployment Nexus: An Investigation at Regional Level for Turkey pp. 112-128 Downloads
Orkun Çelik and Elif Erer
Estimating the Dynamics of Household Waste Management in Turkey pp. 129-143 Downloads
Marius Petrescu, Ionica Oncioiu, Anca-Gabriela Petrescu, Florentina-Raluca Bîlcan, Mihai Petrescu and Dumitru-Alexandru Stoica
Forecasting Inflation by Using the Sub-Groups of both CPI and WPI: Evidence from Auto Regression (AR) and ARIMA Models pp. 144-161 Downloads
Rizwan Raheem Ahmed, Dalia Streimikiene, Saghir Pervaiz Ghauri and Muhammad Aqil
The Role of Dividends on Equity Valuation: Evidence from the GCC Countries pp. 162-180 Downloads
Bassam M. Abu-Abbas
Corporate Financial Risk Assessment and Role of Big Data; New Perspective Using Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process pp. 181-199 Downloads
Huaiwen Zhang, Adnan Khurshid, Xinyu Wang and Alina Mirela Băltăţeanu

2021, issue 1

EU’s CAM and Potential GDP Estimates. Some Inconsistent Results in the Case of Romania pp. 5-16 Downloads
Bianca Păuna and George Georgescu
Does Firm Size Matters for Firm Growth? Evidence from the Romanian Health Sector pp. 17-31 Downloads
Stelian Stancu, Eugenia Grecu, Mirela Ionela Aceleanu, Daniela Livia Traşcă and Claudiu Albulescu
Measuring the Jump Risk Contribution under Market Microstructure Noise – Evidence from Chinese Stock Market pp. 32-47 Downloads
Chao Yu and Xujie Zhao
Higher Realized Moments and Stock Return Predictability pp. 48-70 Downloads
Seema Rehman, Saqib Sharif and Wali Ullah
Forward-Backward-Looking Monetary Policy Rules: Derivation and Empirics pp. 71-92 Downloads
Abdul Rashid and Farah Waheed
Return and Volatility Spillover between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in Croatia: A Spillover Methodology Approach pp. 93-108 Downloads
Tihana Škrinjarić, Lidija Dedi and Boško Šego
New Evidence on the Information Content of Implied Volatility of S&P 500: Model-Free versus Model-Based pp. 109-121 Downloads
Weiwei Zhang, Tiezhu Sun, Yechi Ma and Zilong Wang
The Revenue-Maximizing Corporate Income Tax Rate for Turkey pp. 122-142 Downloads
Hüseyin Şen and Zeynep Burcu Bulut-Çevik
International Financial Market Integration and The Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle: Evidence from Emerging Market Economies pp. 143-165 Downloads
Naib Alakbarov and Yılmaz Bayar
Nonlinearity Relationship of Inflation and Economic Growth: Role of Institutions Quality pp. 166-179 Downloads
Thouraya Boujelbene

2020, issue 4

Self-fulfillment degree of economic expectations within an integrated space: The European Union case study pp. 5-32 Downloads
Emilian Dobrescu
Predictive ability of investor sentiment for the stock market pp. 33-46 Downloads
Karam Kim and Doojin Ryu
Investor Herding in the China Stock Market: An Examination of ChiNext pp. 47-61 Downloads
Hui Hong, Shulin Xu and Chien-Chiang Lee
Host Country Network Integration, Home Country Government Involvement, and Corporate Overseas Survival: Evidence from China pp. 62-84 Downloads
Yan Chen, Jie Gao, Yuqi Cao and Jialin Guan
The Relationship Between Total Factor Productivity and Subsidies in the Case of Romanian Farms pp. 85-98 Downloads
Cecilia Alexandri, Bianca Pauna and Corina Saman
The Impact of Terrorism on Economics and Logistics Performance: An Empirical Study from the Perspective of SAARC Member States pp. 99-117 Downloads
Syed Abdul Rehman Khan and Zhang Yu
Portfolio Decision Using Time Series Prediction and Multi-objective Optimization pp. 118-130 Downloads
Jia Lu, Noor Muhammad Shazemeen and Raimonda Martinkute-Kauliene
FDI or Remittances for Sustainable External Financial Inflows. Theoretical Delimitations and Practical Evidence using Granger Causality pp. 131-153 Downloads
Valentina Vasile, Daniel Ştefan, Calin-Adrian Comes, Elena Bunduchi and Anamari-Beatrice Ştefan
Weak Redistribution Dampens Economic Growth and Causes Strong Social Tensions pp. 154-169 Downloads
Florin Georgescu, Ana-Maria Cazacu and Alexandra-Mariana Cojocaru
Life Expectancy from the Perspective of Global and Individual Wealth and Expenditures: A Granger Causality Study of Some Eu Countries pp. 170-184 Downloads
Mihai Păunică, Alexandru Manole, Cătălina Motofei and Gabriela - Lidia Tănase

2020, issue 3

The Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy: Do Macroprudential Regulation and Central Bank Independence Influence the Transmission of Interest Rates? pp. 5-30 Downloads
Alin-Marius Andrieş and Ioana Pleşcău
Which Types of Stocks Herded by Foreign Institutional Investors are Informational in the Emerging Stock Market? pp. 31-48 Downloads
Hao Fang, Joseph C. P. Shieh, Tsangyao Chang and Meng-Wen Wu
Testing the Unemployment Hysteresis in G7 Countries: A Fresh Evidence from Fourier Threshold Unit Root Test pp. 49-59 Downloads
Veli Yilanci, Yilmaz Ozkan and Abdulkadir Altinsoy
A Time-varying VAR Investigation of the Relationship among Electricity, Fossil Fuel Prices and Exchange Rate in Turkey pp. 60-77 Downloads
Nazif Catik
Globalisation, Economic Growth and COVID-19. Insights from International Finance pp. 78-92 Downloads
Monica RAILEANU Szeles and Corina Saman
Effects of Climate Change on Economic Growth: Evidence from 20 Biggest Economies of the World pp. 93-118 Downloads
Esra Kadanali and Omer Yalcinkaya
Export Determinants of China’s FDI in Africa: Empirical Evidence from Oil/Minerals Exporting African Countries pp. 119-133 Downloads
Kafilah Lola Gold, Rajah Rasiah, Kian Teng Kwek and Murtala Muhammad
Comparison of Forex Market Forecasting Tools Based on Evolino Ensemble and Technical Analysis Indicators pp. 134-148 Downloads
Nijolė Maknickienė, Jelena Stankevičienė and Algirdas Maknickas
Bureaucratic Quality and FDI Inflows Nexus: A South Asian Perspective pp. 149-168 Downloads
Adeel Ahmad Dar, Taj Muhammad and M. Wasif Siddiqi
Long Term Assessment of Nuclear Technology Penetration Using Message – The Case of Romania pp. 169-181 Downloads
Ionut Purica, Lucian Albu, Marioara Iordan, Sorin Dinu, Eugen Bancheş, Ilie Turcu and Daniela Diaconu

2020, issue 2

Estimates of Dynamics of the Covid19 Pandemic and of its Impact on the Economy pp. 5-17 Downloads
Lucian Albu, Ciprian Ion Preda, Radu Lupu, Carmen Dobrota, George Marian Călin and Claudia M. Boghicevici
Forecasting the Inflation Rate in Poland and U.S. Using Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Google Queries pp. 18-34 Downloads
Krzysztof Drachal
The Spending Behavior of Government through the Lenses of Global Uncertainty and Economic Integration pp. 35-57 Downloads
Canh Nguyen and Christophe Schinckus
Stock Index Pattern Discovery via Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-based Clustering pp. 58-72 Downloads
Hongbing Ouyang, Xiaolu Wei and Qiufeng Wu
Testing for Heteroskedastic Mixture of Ordinary Least Squares Errors pp. 73-91 Downloads
Chamil W Senarathne and Wei Jianguo
Intraday Patterns in Returns on the Romanian and Bulgarian Stock Markets pp. 92-114 Downloads
Dan Gabriel Anghel, Elena Tilica and Victor Dragotă
Income Inequalities in Romania in the Aftermath of the 2008 Economic Crisis pp. 115-130 Downloads
Simona Ilie
Forecasting and the Causal Relationship of Sectorial Energy Consumptions and GDP of Pakistan by using AR, ARIMA, and Toda-Yamamoto Wald Models pp. 131-148 Downloads
Dalia Streimikiene, Rizwan Raheem Ahmed, Saghir Ghauri, Muhammad Aqil and Justas Streimikis
Multiple-Criteria Approach of the Operational Performance Evaluation in the Airline Industry: Evidence from the Emerging Markets pp. 149-172 Downloads
Mahmut Bakir, Şahap Akan, Kasım Kiraci, Darjan Karabasevic, Dragisa Stanujkic and Gabrijela Popovic
Developing States and the Green Challenge. A Dynamic Approach pp. 173-193 Downloads
Alexandra-Anca Purcel
Models for Nonlinear Decisions Overview and Two Case Examples in Finance and Energy pp. 194-201 Downloads
Ionut Purica, Lucian Albu, Marioara Iordan and Sorin Dinu

2020, issue 1

A New Semiparametric Mirrored Historical Simulation Value-At-Risk Model pp. 5-21 Downloads
Nikola Radivojević, Luka Filipovi and Тomislav D. Brzaković
Are Fund Attributes Risk Drivers? Evidence for the Polish Mutual Funds pp. 22-36 Downloads
Dariusz Filip
Is the Relationship between Remittances and Economic Growth Influenced by the Governance and Development of the Financial Sector? New Evidence from the Developing Countries pp. 37-56 Downloads
Adnan Khurshid, Yin Kedong, Adrian Cantemir Calin, Cristina Zeldea, Sun Qiang and Duan Wenqi
Short-Run Pricing Performance of Local and Dual Class IPOs in Alternative Investment Market pp. 57-74 Downloads
Abdul Wahid, Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz and Edmund H. Mantell
Cyclicality of Fiscal Policy in the European Union pp. 75-96 Downloads
Gheorghița Dincă, Marius Sorin Dincă, Bardhyl Dauti, Mirela Camelia Baba and Cătălina Popione
Effects of Global Economic, Political and Geopolitical Uncertainties on the Turkish Economy: A SVAR Analysis pp. 97-116 Downloads
Ömer Yalçinkaya and Muhammet Daştan
Threshold Effects of Inflation on the Banking Sector Performance in the ASEAN-6 Countries pp. 117-133 Downloads
Ngo Nu Dieu Khue and Ya-Wen Lai
Export Composition and the Eurozone Trade Balance in Manufacturing Goods pp. 134-150 Downloads
Carlos Carrasco and Edgar Demetrio Tovar-Garcia
The Long-Run and Short-Run Exchange Rate Pass-Through during the Period of Economic Reforms in Nigeria: Is it Complete or Incomplete? pp. 151-172 Downloads
Mehmet Balcilar, Ojonugwa Usman and Muhammad Sani Musa
Page updated 2021-10-19