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The Macromodel of the Moldovan Economy Medium-Term Forecast for Moldova

Alexandru Stratan () and Marcel Chistruga ()
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Marcel Chistruga: Institute of Economy, Finance and Statistics of Moldova

Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2012, issue 2, 68-84

Abstract: Estimates of the macroeconomic indicators are carried out with an econometric model which tries to estimate the medium-term evolution of the Moldovan economy. The forecast takes into account the economic influence of the main economic partners of the Republic of Moldova and the internal evolutions of the monetary aggregate M2, the exchange rate,the interest credit rate and others. This is the final yearly forecast of the Moldovan macroeconomic indicators and this version of the macromodel incorporates previous experience and a new block – Public Finance.

Keywords: model; econometric framework; simulation; macromodel (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C5 C51 C52 C53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2012:i:2:p:68-84