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The Impact of Trade Announcements on Financial Markets. An Event Study Analysis

Adrian Cantemir Calin

Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2015, issue 2, 81-91

Abstract: The financial markets tend to react to a large range of macroeconomic events. We investigate the reaction of currencies to foreign trade announcements for a series of countries with liquid financial markets. Our analysis uses the econometric event study methodology by fitting a FIGARCH model and capturing the reaction of the volatilities of returns around these announcements. We find that the trade announcements have a considerable influence on the currencies considered in this analysis, especially on those with a high degree of liquidity.

Keywords: trade announcements; FIGARCH; event study; financial reaction; periodicity ajustments (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G14 G15 E44 C58 F14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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