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A Prognosis on Romania’s Capacity to Deal with Emergency Situations: Objective and Subjective Resilience during The Covid-19 Pandemic

Dan Dungaciu () and Lucian Dumitrescu
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Dan Dungaciu: Institute of Political Sciences and International Relations – Romanian Academy; Commission for Prospective Studies – Romanian Academy
Lucian Dumitrescu: Institute of Political Sciences and International Relations – Romanian Academy; Commission for Prospective Studies – Romanian Academy

Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2022, issue 1, 176-190

Abstract: The paper demonstrates that resilience consists in both tangible and intangible institutions. Specifically, the paper equates objective resilience with administrative capacity, and argues that certain vulnerabilities of Romania’s public health system are related to other vulnerabilities of the state, such as an underdeveloped fiscal capacity. Subjective resilience implies not only the resolve of population to lend credence to public institutions during an emergency situation, but also the vertical trust that public institutions create through specific policies. Therefore, the level of administrative and political development in normal times could be a predictor of a given state’s subjective resilience in times of crises. Methodologically, the paper rests on in-depth case study.

Keywords: state capacity; objective resilience; subjective resilience; macro-sociology; political development; Covid-19; Romania (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F50 F51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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