Testing Alternative Models of Reciprocity Against Interaction During the Cold War

Martin Patchen and David D. Bogumil
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Martin Patchen: Purdue University
David D. Bogumil: Purdue University

Conflict Management and Peace Science, 1995, vol. 14, issue 2, 163-195

Abstract: Three models of reciprocity–simple, trend, and comparative–are applied to events data which describe interaction between the United States and the Soviet Union during the Cold War. The comparative reciprocity model–which predicts that change in each actor's behavior will be based on prior differences in the rivals' actions–received the greatest, although limited, support. There was little agreement in the results of the three reciprocity models for specific years. Overall, while there is some evidence of reciprocity when using either the simple reciprocity or the comparative reciprocity model, reciprocity does not appear to have been a robust process in U.S.-Soviet interaction. It tended to occur most often at times of high tension and conflict.

Date: 1995
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:compsc:v:14:y:1995:i:2:p:163-195

DOI: 10.1177/073889429501400203

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