Time is on my side? The impact of timing and dispute type on militarized conflict duration

Shawna K. Metzger

Conflict Management and Peace Science, 2017, vol. 34, issue 3, 308-329

Abstract: What influences the duration of interstate militarized conflicts? I argue that duration is affected by when the militarization occurs in the overarching dispute. Further, I suggest that the type of dispute being fought over has a conditioning effect. I hypothesize that later-occurring militarizations will last longer, but only in disputes over territorial issues. I test my argument on a sample of militarized conflicts over territorial, maritime, and river disputes, using a dynamic methodological technique to account for states’ strategic calculations. I find empirical support for my theoretical claims, contributing to our understanding of the interplay between interstate disputes and militarization.

Keywords: Conflict duration; disputed issue; interdependent durations; issue salience; militarized interstate dispute (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:compsc:v:34:y:2017:i:3:p:308-329

DOI: 10.1177/0738894215593722

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