Trends and Breaks in Per-Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1870-2028

Markku Lanne and Matti Liski

The Energy Journal, 2004, vol. 25, issue 4, 41-65

Abstract: We consider per-capita carbon dioxide emission trends in 16 early industrialized countries over the period 1870-2028. Using a multiple-break time series method we find more evidence for very early downturns in per-capita trends than for late downturns during the oil price shocks of the 1970s. Only for two countries do downturns in trends imply downward sloping stable trends. We also consider trends in emission composition and find little evidence for in-sample peaks for emissions from liquid and gaseous fuel uses. These results lead us to reject the oil price shocks as events causing permanent breaks in the structure and level of emissions, a conclusion often made in analyses using shorter postwar data.

Keywords: CO2 emissions; oil price shocks; breaks and trends (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol25-No4-3 (text/html)

Related works:
Journal Article: Trends and Breaks in Per-Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1870-2028 (2004)
Working Paper: Trends and Breaks in per-capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1870-2028 (2003)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:enejou:v:25:y:2004:i:4:p:41-65

DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol25-No4-3

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in The Energy Journal
Bibliographic data for series maintained by SAGE Publications ().