Trends and Breaks in per-capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1870-2028
Markku Lanne and
Matti Liski ()
Working Papers from Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
We consider per-capita carbon dioxide emission trends in 16 early developed countries over the period 1870-2028. Using a multiple-break time series method we find more evidence for very early downturns in per-capita trends than for late downturns, during the oil price shocks of the 1970s. Only for two countries do downturns in trends imply downward sloping stable trends. We also consider trends in emission composition and find little evidence for in-sample peaks for emissions from liquid and gaseous fuel uses. These results lead us to reject the oil price shocks as events causing permanent *Keywords: climate change; unit roots; structural change. JEL classification: C22; N0; O1. Dept. of Economics, University of Helsinki, P.O. Box 54, FIN-00014 University of Helsinki Helsinki School of Economics and MIT-CEEPR, P.O.Box 1210, 00101 Helsinki, Finland. We thank Dick Eckaus, Denny Ellerman, Pekka Ilmakunnas, Jan Kunnas, Erkki Pihkala, John Reilly, Anne Toppinen, Ian Sue Wing, and seminar participants at HSE for valuable comments and discussions. 1 breaks in the structure and level of emissions, a conclusion often made in analyses using shorter postwar data.
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Can't connect to tisiphone.mit.edu:80 (No such host is known. )
Journal Article: Trends and Breaks in Per-Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1870-2028 (2004)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mee:wpaper:0302
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Working Papers from Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sharmila Ganguly ( this e-mail address is bad, please contact ).