Demographic ageing and the polarization of regions—an exploratory space–time analysis

Terry Gregory and Roberto Patuelli ()

Environment and Planning A, 2015, vol. 47, issue 5, 1192-1210

Abstract: Abstract Demographic ageing is expected to affect labour markets in very different ways on a regional scale. Contributing to this debate, we explore the spatiotemporal patterns of recent distributional changes in the worker age structure and innovation output for German regions by conducting an exploratory space–time data analysis. Besides commonly used tools, we apply newly developed approaches which allow the investigation of joint dynamics of the spatial distributions. Overall, we find that innovation hubs tend to be located in areas with high skill concentrations, but also seem to coincide with favourable demographic age structures. We show that these concentrations are persistent over time due to clusterwise path dependence and spatial contagion forces. The spatiotemporal patterns speak in favour of a demographic polarization process of German regions where the post-reunification East–West divide is increasingly turning into a rural–urban divide.

Keywords: innovation; demographic ageing; exploratory space–time analysis; regional disparities; spatial polarization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Demographic Ageing and the Polarization of Regions - An Exploratory Space-Time Analysis (2015)
Working Paper: Regional Age Structure, Human Capital and Innovation - Is Demographic Ageing Increasing Regional Disparities? (2013)
Working Paper: Regional age structure, human capital and innovation: Is demographic ageing increasing regional disparities? (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:envira:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:1192-1210

DOI: 10.1177/0308518X15592329

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