Demographic Ageing and the Polarization of Regions - An Exploratory Space-Time Analysis

Terry Gregory and Roberto Patuelli ()

Working Paper series from Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis

Abstract: Demographic change is expected to affect labour markets in very different ways on a regional scale. The objective of this paper is to explore the spatio-temporal patterns of recent distributional changes in the workers age structure, innovation output and skill composition for German regions by conducting an Exploratory Space-Time Data Analysis (ESTDA). Beside commonly used tools, we apply newly developed approaches which allow investigating the space-time dynamics of the spatial distributions. We include an analysis of the joint distributional dynamics of the patenting variable with the remaining interest variables. Overall, we find strong clustering tendencies for the demographic variables and innovation that constitute a great divide across German regions. The detected clusters partly evolve over time and suggest a demographic polarization trend among regions that may further reinforce the observed innovation divide in the future.

Keywords: innovation; workforce age structure; exploratory space-time data analysis; regional disparities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 O31 R11 R12 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-08, Revised 2015-02
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

Published in Environment and Planning A, 47(5):1192-1210, 2015

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http://www.rcea.org/RePEc/pdf/wp51_13.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Demographic ageing and the polarization of regions—an exploratory space–time analysis (2015)
Working Paper: Regional Age Structure, Human Capital and Innovation - Is Demographic Ageing Increasing Regional Disparities? (2013)
Working Paper: Regional age structure, human capital and innovation: Is demographic ageing increasing regional disparities? (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rim:rimwps:51_13

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