 Factors Associated With Vertical and Horizontal Job-Education Mismatches: Insights From University Graduates in VietnamTuyen Quang Tran, Hoai Thu Thi Nguyen, Ngoc Bich Thi Vu and Dao Van Le Evaluation Review, 2026, vol. 50, issue 4, 577-609 Abstract: This study is the first to examine the factors influencing the likelihood of graduates in Vietnam experiencing vertical, horizontal, and full job mismatches. This study employs secondary data from the Labor Force Survey for 2018–2022. Using a multinomial logit model, we identify the key determinants of job mismatch, such as field of study, gender, job sector, and geographic location. Graduates in Education and Pedagogy exhibit a lower likelihood of mismatches than those in almost all other fields. We also observe gender differences, where men were more likely than women to experience all types of mismatches. Additionally, graduates employed in the private and foreign direct investment sectors face higher risks of vertical and full mismatches, whereas urban residents are less likely to experience mismatches than their rural counterparts. Finally, the findings from the doubly robust estimates reveal that a wage penalty is associated with vertical and full mismatches, particularly for women, whereas a horizontal mismatch has a minimal impact on wages. Keywords: doubly robust estimator; horizontal mismatch; vertical mismatch; full mismatch; wage penalty; field of study; Vietnam (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:evarev:v:50:y:2026:i:4:p:577-609 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251409287 Access Statistics for this article More articles in Evaluation Review |
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