Perestroika

Alexander D. Smirnov and Emil B. Ershov
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Alexander D. Smirnov: Russian Academy of Sciences
Emil B. Ershov: Institute of Statistics, Moscow

Journal of Conflict Resolution, 1992, vol. 36, issue 3, 415-453

Abstract: The general systems approach has been used to study one of the most intriguing social phenomena in the process of Soviet perestroika. During the period from 1985 to 1991, a dramatic change in public opinion took place from approval of a centralized planning system to overwhelming support for a free-market system. To study the factors that caused this process as well as its performance, a nonlinear model was developed and verified on empirical data. The model has made it possible to trace and identify various stages of perestroika and to comprise different outcomes of a growing conflict between the central and the republican governments that reached its climax in August 1991, after a catastrophic change in public sentiment so impressively demonstrated in the Russian presidential elections in June of the same year.

Date: 1992
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jocore:v:36:y:1992:i:3:p:415-453

DOI: 10.1177/0022002792036003002

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