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Uncertainty of Outcome Is Higher in the Champions League Than in the European Cup

Jeroen Schokkaert and Johan Swinnen

Journal of Sports Economics, 2016, vol. 17, issue 2, 115-147

Abstract: European Cup football has experienced a major change in format with the introduction of the Champions League (CL) in 1992 and a major change in admission rules with direct qualification for multiple teams from the highest ranked leagues in 1999. We show that, in line with popular press reports and other studies, qualification in lower rounds has become more predictable in the CL. At the same time, however, outcomes at later stages have become less predictable. We provide evidence and an explanation.

Keywords: Champions League; European Cup; sports tournaments; uncertainty of outcome (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jospec:v:17:y:2016:i:2:p:115-147

DOI: 10.1177/1527002514521628

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