Strategic ambiguity about military capacity with multiple adversaries

Patrick Hummel

Journal of Theoretical Politics, 2015, vol. 27, issue 2, 288-300

Abstract: I present a model in which a nation must decide whether to reveal its military capacity when the nation faces two possible adversaries. One adversary would be inclined to attack if the country has a weak military capacity, and the other adversary would be inclined to attack preemptively if the country is developing a strong military capacity. I derive conditions under which it is an equilibrium for the nation to be ambiguous about its military capacity as a function of the hawkishness of the adversaries and the accuracy of the adversaries’ national intelligence.

Keywords: Military capacity; multiple adversaries; strategic ambiguity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jothpo:v:27:y:2015:i:2:p:288-300

DOI: 10.1177/0951629814531517

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