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NOWCASTING EURO AREA ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN REAL TIME: THE ROLE OF CONFIDENCE INDICATORS

Domenico Giannone (), Lucrezia Reichlin () and Saverio Simonelli

National Institute Economic Review, 2009, vol. 210, issue 1, 90-97

Abstract: This paper assesses the role of qualitative surveys for the early estimation of GDP in the Euro Area in a model-based automated procedure which exploits the timeliness of their release. The analysis is conducted using both an historical evaluation and a real-time case study on the current conjuncture.

Keywords: Forecasting; factor model; real-time data; large data sets; survey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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http://ner.sagepub.com/content/210/1/90.abstract (text/html)

Related works:
Working Paper: Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicator (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators (2009) Downloads
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