Trade, Financial Integration, and Synchronization of Business Cycles in NAFTA Member Countries (Integracja handlowa i finansowa a synchronizacja cykli koniunkturalnych w krajach czlonkowskich NAFTA)

Piotr Misztal

Research Reports, 2016, vol. 1, issue 20, 88-100

Abstract: The aim of the study was to analyze the impact of trade integration (international trade) and financial integration (international capital flows) on the synchronization of business cycles in member countries of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) during the 1995–2013 period. Pursuant to the adopted hypothesis, international trade and international capital flows were significant factors in determining the degree of synchronization of business cycles in the examined integrated group. It was international trade that determined the convergence of business cycles in NAFTA to a most significant degree. This was consistent with the results of research carried out by J. Frankel and A. Rose (1998). Moreover, the influence of mutual trade and inter-country capital flows on the synchronization of business cycles of the countries depended on not only the intensity of trade and capital, but mainly on the structure of the trade and capital flows. The research results have important implications in terms of the formation and functioning of integration groups bringing together countries with different levels of economic development. The analysis results also play an important role in the context of the future Polish membership in the euro area. The results of this research have important implications with respect to the formation and functioning of integrated groups bringing together countries of differing levels of economic development. Analysis results also play an important role in the context of the future Polish membership in the euro zone.

Keywords: foreign trade; foreign investment; business cycle (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 F21 F23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sim.wz.uw.edu.pl/sites/default/files/artykuly/piotr_misztal.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sgm:resrep:v:1:i:20:y:2016:p:88-100

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Research Reports from University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().