Claims fraud detection with uncertain labels
Félix Vandervorst (),
Wouter Verbeke () and
Tim Verdonck ()
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Félix Vandervorst: KU Leuven
Wouter Verbeke: KU Leuven
Tim Verdonck: University of Antwerp
Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, 2024, vol. 18, issue 1, No 10, 219-243
Abstract:
Abstract Insurance fraud is a non self-revealing type of fraud. The true historical labels (fraud or legitimate) are only as precise as the investigators’ efforts and successes to uncover them. Popular approaches of supervised and unsupervised learning fail to capture the ambiguous nature of uncertain labels. Imprecisely observed labels can be represented in the Dempster–Shafer theory of belief functions, a generalization of supervised and unsupervised learning suited to represent uncertainty. In this paper, we show that partial information from the historical investigations can add valuable, learnable information for the fraud detection system and improves its performances. We also show that belief function theory provides a flexible mathematical framework for concept drift detection and cost sensitive learning, two common challenges in fraud detection. Finally, we present an application to a real-world motor insurance claim fraud.
Keywords: Insurance claims fraud; Soft labels; Machine learning; Nonlife insurance; 68T37; -; Reasoning; under; uncertainty; in; the; context; of; artificial; intelligence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s11634-023-00568-0
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