Exploring the effect of heat on stated intentions to move

Kerstin K. Zander (), Akhilesh Surjan and Stephen T. Garnett
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Kerstin K. Zander: Charles Darwin University
Akhilesh Surjan: Charles Darwin University
Stephen T. Garnett: Charles Darwin University

Climatic Change, 2016, vol. 138, issue 1, No 21, 297-308

Abstract: Abstract Climate change is leading to more frequent and longer heat waves and in many places, such as large parts of Australia, to an increase in average temperatures. Rising temperatures can reduce well-being and influence decisions about residency and mobility among people. This study assesses the intentions of a nationally representative sample of working-age people living in Australia to move to somewhere cooler than where they currently live as a response to increasing heat. We found that 11 % of respondents intend to move away from their current place or residence because of increasing temperatures. We also found that men are more likely to intend to move, as are those who feel often stressed by heat, those with a generally high level of mobility, and those who are worried about climate change. Age does not explain movement intentions although it has been found that young people are generally the most mobile, and then those in retirement age again. This means that people formerly expected to be rather immobile might be more likely to intend to move when they feel the local climate has become intolerably hot. Planning for infrastructure and service provision, which has a long lead time, will therefore need adjustment to account for the likely effects of climate change on mobility decisions and settlement patterns.

Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1727-9

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