Early warning information, farmers’ perceptions of, and adaptations to drought in China

Lingling Hou, Jikun Huang and Jinxia Wang
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Lingling Hou: School of Advanced Agricultural Sciences, Peking University
Jinxia Wang: School of Advanced Agricultural Sciences, Peking University

Climatic Change, 2017, vol. 141, issue 2, No 5, 197-212

Abstract: Abstract Farmers’ perceptions of the local climate reflect their own judgments of climate change and may thus affect their adaptation behavior. However, the mechanisms between the provision of early warning information and farmers’ perceptions and adaptation behavior are under-researched. To address this gap in the literature, this study uses original household survey data from nine provinces in China to examine the major factors influencing farmers’ perceptions of drought and examines how perceptions affect adaptation behavior. The results show that over half of the sample farmers perceived that drought severity had increased during the past 10 years. Moreover, econometric analysis indicates that about 8% more farmers will adopt surface pipes in response to drought if early warning information about drought is provided. Farmers that perceived increasing drought severity are more likely to attempt to adapt by adopting water-saving technologies. The paper concludes by offering some policy implications for the presented results.

Keywords: Drought Severity; Adaptation Measure; Early Warning System; Palmer Severity Drought Index; Perception Equation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1900-9

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