When climate change predictions are right for the wrong reasons

Wally Broecker ()
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Wally Broecker: Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University

Climatic Change, 2017, vol. 142, issue 1, No 1, 6 pages

Abstract: Abstract Just over 40 years ago, I wrote a paper entitled “Climate change: Are we on the brink of a pronounced global warming?” In it, I attempted to explain why despite a rise in the atmosphere’s CO2 content there had been no significant warming. I predicted that a natural cooling was about to give way to a warming, and that industrial emissions of CO2 would amplify this warming. The paper published in Science in 1975. Warming did follow in 1976–1977. However, a retrospective look shows that my analysis was flawed. What is more—and to my chagrin—based on the words “global warming” in my Science paper, I was given the title “Father of Global Warming.” Not only did I not like this title, I had done little to merit it.

Keywords: Global Warming; Pacific Decadal Oscillation; North Atlantic Oscillation; Camp Century; North Atlantic Oscillation Index (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1927-y

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