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Past and future climate change over the Himalaya–Tibetan Highland: inferences from APHRODITE and NEX-GDDP data

Saroj K. Mishra, Shipra Jain (), Popat Salunke and Sandeep Sahany
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Saroj K. Mishra: Indian Institute of Technology Delhi (IIT Delhi)
Shipra Jain: Indian Institute of Technology Delhi (IIT Delhi)
Popat Salunke: Indian Institute of Technology Delhi (IIT Delhi)
Sandeep Sahany: Indian Institute of Technology Delhi (IIT Delhi)

Climatic Change, 2019, vol. 156, issue 3, No 3, 315-322

Abstract: Abstract The Himalaya–Tibetan Highland (HTH) is highly vulnerable to climate change for multiple reasons. In this work, we present past and future changes in HTH climate, using temperature and precipitation from APHRODITE, CMIP5 and NEX-GDDP. To assess observed climate change, we analysed APHRODITE and found significant warming (up to 3 °C) during all seasons but no significant change in precipitation. We validated CMIP5 and NEX-GDDP against APHRODITE and found the latter more accurate. Future climate projections under RCP8.5 using NEX-GDDP suggest widespread warming (~5–8 °C) and increase in monsoon and post-monsoon precipitation (up to ~50%) over HTH by the end of the twenty-first century.

Keywords: Himalaya Tibetan plateau; Climate change; APHRODITE; NEX-GDDP; CMIP5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1007/s10584-019-02473-y

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