The impacts of extreme El Niño events on sea turtle nesting populations

P. Santidrián Tomillo (), L. G. Fonseca, M. Ward, N. Tankersley, N. J. Robinson, C. M. Orrego, F. V. Paladino and V. S. Saba
Additional contact information
P. Santidrián Tomillo: The Leatherback Trust, Goldring-Gund Marine Biology Station
L. G. Fonseca: Latin American Sea Turtles
M. Ward: Sea Turtles Forever
N. Tankersley: Sea Turtles Forever
N. J. Robinson: Cape Eleuthera Institute, Cape Eleuthera Island School
C. M. Orrego: Ministry of Environment and Energy
F. V. Paladino: The Leatherback Trust, Goldring-Gund Marine Biology Station
V. S. Saba: Princeton University

Climatic Change, 2020, vol. 159, issue 2, No 1, 163-176

Abstract: Abstract The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the predominant interannual pattern of climate variability in the world and may become extreme approximately once every 20 years. Climate-forced interannual variability in fecundity rates of long-lived species are well-studied, but the effect of extreme events is less clear. Here, we analyzed the effect of the extreme 2015–16 El Niño event on three long-lived sea turtle species in a region highly influenced by ENSO. The effect of this extreme event varied considerably among species. While reproductive success dramatically declined in leatherback turtles (Dermochelys coriacea), the reduction was only marginal in green turtles (Chelonia mydas). Nevertheless, the number of nesting green turtles decreased following the extreme El Niño event, likely due to decreased ocean productivity. We used global climate models to project an increase in the decadal occurrence of extreme events from ~ 0.7 events (beginning of twentieth century) to ~ 2.9 events per decade (end of twenty-first century). This resulted in a projected decline in the reproductive success of leatherback turtles (~ 19%), a milder decline in olive ridley turtles (Lepidochelys olivacea) (~ 7%), and no decline in green turtles (~ 1%). Extreme El Niño events can have a strong detrimental effect on East Pacific leatherback turtles, a population that is already critically endangered due to other anthropogenic impacts. Our results highlight the importance of conducting species-specific and site-specific analyses of climatic impacts on sea turtles.

Keywords: ENSO; Extreme events; Long-lived; Sea turtles; Reproductive success; Climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02658-w

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