Will I have to move because of climate change? Perceived likelihood of weather- or climate-related relocation among the US public

Byungdoo Kim (), David L. Kay and Jonathon P. Schuldt
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Byungdoo Kim: Cornell University
David L. Kay: Cornell University
Jonathon P. Schuldt: Cornell University

Climatic Change, 2021, vol. 165, issue 1, No 9, 8 pages

Abstract: Abstract As threats from climate change increase across the world, climate-induced migration is receiving more attention, particularly as it affects people in the Global South. However, despite increasing extreme weather events in nations including the United States, limited research has examined public perceptions of the personal likelihood of migration among members of wealthy industrialized countries. We asked a national probability sample of 1,000 U.S. adults about the likelihood that they would have to relocate in the next ten years because of weather or climate-related issues. We found that a majority of respondents (57.0%) reported that these would have a “moderate” or greater influence on their decision to move in the coming decade. Logistic regression analysis with demographic (race, gender, socioeconomic status, and political party affiliation) and geographic indicators (regional division and coastal proximity) revealed that Democrats and people with higher education were more likely to indicate that weather or climate-related issues would factor into their decision to relocate. Implications for climate change migration and public opinion research are discussed.

Keywords: Climate change; Extreme weather; Migration; Public opinion; Motivated reasoning (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03026-y

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