Heterogeneous impacts of climate change on crop yields across altitudes in Ethiopia

Tsegaye Ginbo ()
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Tsegaye Ginbo: Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Tsegaye Ginbo Gatiso

Climatic Change, 2022, vol. 170, issue 1, No 12, 21 pages

Abstract: Abstract Impacts of climate change can differ from one region to another. We combine the household-level panel data with weather and climate data to examine the heterogeneity of the impacts of climate change on crop yields across different crops and agro-ecologies in Ethiopia. Our results show that climate change will induce an increase in coffee and teff yields by 31% and 8.3%, respectively, at high altitudes by the years 2041–2060 compared to 1988–2018, under a medium emissions scenario. Conversely, it will reduce coffee yield by 3% at low altitudes, and barley, maize, and wheat yield by 22.7%, 48%, and 10%, respectively, at high altitudes. These findings suggest that tailoring agricultural development programs and climate adaptation strategies to address location and crop-specific sensitivity to climate change may help to build resilience and improve the livelihood of smallholder farmers.

Keywords: Climate change; Crop yields; Production risk; Climate resilience (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s10584-022-03306-1

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