Temperature variations and residential natural gas consumption: do building attributes matter?

Meixuan Teng and Yangyang Guo ()
Additional contact information
Meixuan Teng: Beijing Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
Yangyang Guo: Beijing Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research

Climatic Change, 2025, vol. 178, issue 11, No 16, 18 pages

Abstract: Abstract As the global average temperature rises, residential natural gas demand is expected to shift, particularly due to reduced heating needs during milder winters. However, empirical evidence at the building level remains limited. Using a comprehensive nationwide building-level dataset, this study examines how residential natural gas use responds to temperature variations in urban areas of China. Our results indicate that, on average, a 1% increase in heating degree days is associated with a 0.15% increase in residential natural gas use. The magnitude of this effect depends on building attributes, with differences in heating systems, structural features, and geographic location jointly shaping the response of residential natural gas consumption to temperature changes. Using simulations from 20 downscaled global climate models, we estimate that, under a high carbon emissions scenario, climate-driven natural gas use for residential buildings with individual heating systems could decline by approximately 31.7% by the end of the century, holding other factors constant.

Keywords: Climate change; Natural gas consumption; Residential buildings; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-025-04057-5 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:climat:v:178:y:2025:i:11:d:10.1007_s10584-025-04057-5

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/economics/journal/10584

DOI: 10.1007/s10584-025-04057-5

Access Statistics for this article

Climatic Change is currently edited by M. Oppenheimer and G. Yohe

More articles in Climatic Change from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().