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A pth-order random coefficients mixed binomial autoregressive process with explanatory variables

Han Li, Zijian Liu, Kai Yang (), Xiaogang Dong and Wenshan Wang
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Han Li: Changchun University
Zijian Liu: Changchun University of Technology
Kai Yang: Changchun University of Technology
Xiaogang Dong: Changchun University of Technology
Wenshan Wang: Changchun University of Technology

Computational Statistics, 2024, vol. 39, issue 5, No 7, 2604 pages

Abstract: Abstract To capture the higher-order autocorrelation structure for finite-range integer-valued time series of counts, and to consider the driving effect of covariates on the underlying process, this paper introduces a pth-order random coefficients mixed binomial autoregressive process with explanatory variables. The basic probabilistic and statistical properties of the model are discussed. Conditional least squares and conditional maximum likelihood estimators, as well as their asymptotic properties of the estimators are obtained. Moreover, the existence test of explanatory variables are well addressed using a Wald-type test. Forecasting problem is also considered. Finally, some numerical results of the estimators and a real data example are presented to show the performance of the proposed model.

Keywords: Finite-range integer-valued time series; Binomial autoregressive model; Random coefficient model; Explanatory variables; Forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s00180-023-01396-8

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