Effects of a red card on goal-scoring in World Cup football matches

Jakub Cerveny, Jan C. Ours () and Martin A. Tuijl ()
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Jan C. Ours: Erasmus University Rotterdam
Martin A. Tuijl: Tilburg University

Empirical Economics, 2018, vol. 55, issue 2, No 21, 883-903

Abstract: Abstract We examine the effect of the sending-off of a player on the goal-scoring rates in FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.

Keywords: Association football; Goal-scoring; Red card; World Cup football matches (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Related works:
Working Paper: Effects of a Red Card on Goal-Scoring in World Cup Football Matches (2016)
Working Paper: Effects of a Red Card on Goal-Scoring in World Cup Football Matches (2016)
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DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1287-5

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